Keywords: social and economic development, municipality, semantic network, cognitive modeling, strategy, decision making, semi-structured system
On the application of some methods of engineering knowledge when modeling social and economic development of municipalities
UDC 004.82:338.27
DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2021.34.3.002
The relevance of the work is due to the fact that activities in the field of social and economic development of territories appear as one of the primary national tasks. In this regard, the purpose of this work is to describe an approach that makes it possible to increase the efficiency of management decisions in the field of planning, forecasting and programming the social and economic development of municipalities. To achieve this goal and to model the subject area, a number of tools are used, in particular, the semantic network and cognitive maps. The authors present a semantic network that describes the basic concepts and relationships in the process of managing the social and economic development of a municipality, a feature of which is the factors that determine the social and economic development of a settlement. These factors make it possible to identify typical municipalities within the region (country), for which certain strategies for the development of the territory (templates) can be used. As a supplement to the semantic model, a cognitive map is used, which makes it possible to take into account the interdependence of indicators for assessing the social and economic development of municipalities. The proposed approach was tested on the indicators of the social and economic development of the municipality (Shegarsky district of the Tomsk region) and can be used in the process of making managerial decisions in the field of planning, forecasting and programming the social and economic development of municipalities.
1. Lukin E.V. Areas of using input-output balances in analyzing and simulating the development of socio-economic systems. Territorial development issues. 2017;1(36):1-17. (In Russ)
2. Popova E.V. Balansovyi metod kak mekhanizm realizatsii dolgosrochnoi sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoi strategii Rossii. Innovatsii. 2008;5(115):30-41. (In Russ)
3. Petrosyanc V.Z., Dokholyan S.V., Kallaeva A.S. Ekonometricheskaya model of forecasting and the script variants of modernization of regional economy. Problems of Theory and Methodology of Regional Economy. 2008;1:1-14. (In Russ)
4. Marchenko O.V., Burdakova G.I. Problems of forecasting indicators of socio-economic development of the municipality. BENEFICIUM. 2019;3(32):52-66. DOI: 10.34680/BENEFICIUM.2019.3(32).52-66. (In Russ)
5. Gafarova E.A., Lakman I.A. Econometric modelling of region’s municipalities development with account to their inhomogeneity (case study: Republic of Bashkortostan). Voprosy statistiki. 2017;(4):54-63. (In Russ)
6. Sidorov A.A. Metodicheskii podkhod k integral'noi otsenke sostoyaniya i dinamiki mnogomernykh ob"ektov sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoi prirody. Problemy upravleniya. 2016;(3):32-40. (In Russ)
7. Sidorov A.A., Silich M.P. Metodicheskie podkhody k otsenke sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nykh obrazovanii. Izvestiya Tomskogo politekhnicheskogo universiteta. 2008;(6):38-44. (In Russ)
8. Dukanova I.V. Sistema metodov otsenki urovnya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya raionnykh munitsipal'nykh obrazovanii. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika. 2011;19(202):38-44. (In Russ)
9. Oreshnikov V.V., Ataeva A.G. Metodicheskie aspekty otsenki urovnya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nykh obrazovanii s pozitsii ikh territorial'noi transformatsii. Vestnik Belgorodskogo universiteta kooperatsii, ekonomiki i prava. 2017;6(67):130-146. DOI: 10.21295/2223-5639-2017-6-130-146. (In Russ)
10. Egorov A.Yu. Indikativnoe planirovanie innovatsionnogo razvitiya munitsipal'nogo obrazovaniya. avtoref… dis. kand. ekon. nauk. – Kazan', 2009. (In Russ)
11. Fadeikina N.V., Pirogova T.V. Prognozirovanie, indikativnoe planirovanie i programmirovanie sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nogo obrazovaniya. Innovatsionnaya ekonomika: ot teorii k praktike. 2011:56-65. (In Russ)
12. Karkavin, M.V. Using the mechanism of indicative planning in the implementation strategy for the development of municipality. Rossiyskoe predprinimatelstvo. 2009;6(1):174-179. (In Russ)
13. Flasinski M. Structural Models of Knowledge Representation. Introduction to Artificial Intelligence. 2016
14. Hansen D.L., Shneiderman В., Smith M.A., Himelboim I. Analyzing Social Media Networks with NodeXL. 2020.
15. Sidorov A.A. Shishanina M.A. Semanticheskaya set' kak instrument determinatsii protsessa upravleniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskim razvitiem munitsipal'nykh obrazovanii. Elektronnye sredstva i sistemy upravleniya. 2017;1(2):188-192. (In Russ)
16. Maksimov V.I. Strukturno-tselevoi analiz razvitiya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh situatsii. Problemy upravleniya. 2005;(3):30-38. (In Russ)
17. Silov V.B. Prinyatie strategicheskikh reshenii v nechetkoi obstanovke. - M.: INPRO-RES, 1995. (In Russ)
18. Avdeeva Z.K., Kovriga S.V., Makarenko D.I., Maksimov V.I. Kognitivnyi podkhod v upravlenii. Problemy upravleniya. 2007;(3):2-8. (In Russ)
19. Strategiya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya. Ofitsial'nyi sait munitsipal'nogo obrazovaniya «Shegarskii raion». Available at: https://www.shegadm.ru/content/Strategiya_socialno_ekonomicheskogo_razvitiya (accessed 22.12.2020).
20. Dubina I.N. Osnovy matematicheskogo modelirovaniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh protsessov: uchebnik i praktikum dlya bakalavriata i magistratury. - M.: Izd-vo Yurait, 2019. (In Russ)
21. Kulinich A.A. Komp'yuternye sistemy modelirovaniya kognitivnykh kart: podkhody i metody. Problemy upravleniya. 2010;(3):2-16. (In Russ)
22. Kosko B. Fuzzy cognitive maps. Man-Machine Studies.1986;24:65-75.
Keywords: social and economic development, municipality, semantic network, cognitive modeling, strategy, decision making, semi-structured system
For citation: Sidorov A.A., Shishanina M.A. On the application of some methods of engineering knowledge when modeling social and economic development of municipalities. Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology. 2021;9(3). URL: https://moitvivt.ru/ru/journal/pdf?id=950 DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2021.34.3.002 (In Russ).
Received 20.03.2021
Revised 20.08.2021
Accepted 31.08.2021
Published 30.09.2021