Сравнение эффективности различных методов отбора признаков для решения задачи бинарной классификации предсказания наступления беременности при проведении экстракорпорального оплодотворения
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Научный журнал Моделирование, оптимизация и информационные технологииThe scientific journal Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology
Online media
issn 2310-6018

Comparison of the efficiency of different selecting features methods for solving the binary classification problem of predicting in vitro fertilization pregnancy

idSinotova S.L., idLimanovskaya O.V., idPlaksina A.N., idMakutina V.A.

UDC 519.683, 519-7
DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2020.30.3.025

  • Abstract
  • List of references
  • About authors

Determination of the range of factors affecting the object of research is the most important task of medical research. Its solution is complicated by a large amount of diverse data, including extensive anamnestic information and data from clinical studies, often combined with a limited number of observed patients. This work is devoted to the comparison of the results obtained by various feature selection methods for the search for a set of predictors, on the basis of which a model with the best forecast quality was created, for solving the problem of binary classification of predicting the onset of pregnancy during in vitro fertilization (IVF). The data from the anamnesis of women, presented in binary form, were used as features. The sample consisted of 68 features and 689 objects. The signs were examined for the presence of cross-correlation, after which methods and algorithms were applied to search for a selection of significant factors: nonparametric criteria, interval estimate of the shares, Zcriterion for the difference of two shares, mutual information, RFECV, ADD-DELL, Relief algorithms, algorithms based on the permutation importance (Boruta, Permutation Importance, PIMP), feature selection algorithms using model feature importance (lasso, random forest). To compare the quality of the selected sets of features, various classifiers were built, their metric AUC and the complexity of the model were calculated. All models have high prediction quality (AUC above 95%). The best of them are based on features selected using nonparametric criteria, model selection (lasso regression), Boruta, Permutation Importance, RFECV and ReliefF algorithms. The optimal set of predictors is a set of 30 binary features obtained by the Boruta algorithm, due to the lower complexity of the model with a relatively high quality (AUC of the model 0.983). Significant signs includes: data about pregnancies in the anamnesis in general, ectopic and regressive pregnancies, independent and term childbirth, abortions up to 12 weeks; hypertension, ischemia, stroke, thrombosis, ulcers, obesity, diabetes mellitus in the immediate family; currently undergoing hormonal treatment not associated with the IVF procedure; allergies; harmful professional factors; normal duration and stability of the menstrual cycle without taking medication; hysteroscopy, laparoscopy and laparotomy; resection of any organ in the genitourinary system; is it the first IVF, the presence of any surgical interventions, diseases of the genitourinary system; the age and BMI of the patient; absence of chronic diseases; the presence of diffuse fibrocystic mastopathy, hypothyroidism.

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Sinotova Svetlana L.

Email: sveta.volkova92@mail.ru

ORCID |

Institute Of Fundamental Education, Fsaei He «Urfu Named After The First President Of Russia B.N.Yeltsin»

Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation

Limanovskaya Oksana V.
Candidate of Chemical Sciences
Email: o.v.limanovskaia@urfu.ru

ORCID |

Institute Of Fundamental Education, Fsaei He «Urfu Named After The First President Of Russia B.N.Yeltsin»

Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation

Plaksina Anna N.
Candidate of Medical Sciences
Email: burberry20@yandex.ru

ORCID |

FSBEI HE «USMU of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation»

Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation

Makutina Valerija A.
Candidate of Biological Sciences
Email: makutina_v@rambler.ru

ORCID |

The Family Medicine Centre

Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation

Keywords: feature selection, binary classification problem, small data analysis, machine learning, assisted reproductive technologies

For citation: Sinotova S.L., Limanovskaya O.V., Plaksina A.N., Makutina V.A. Comparison of the efficiency of different selecting features methods for solving the binary classification problem of predicting in vitro fertilization pregnancy. Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology. 2020;8(3). URL: https://moit.vivt.ru/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/SinotovaSoavtors_3_20_1.pdf DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2020.30.3.025 (In Russ).

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Published 30.09.2020