ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РАЗВИТИЯ ТУБЕРКУЛЕЗА ОРГАНОВ ДЫХАНИЯ ПО ИНДИВИДУАЛЬНЫМ МЕДИКО-СОЦИАЛЬНЫМ ФАКТОРАМ РИСКА
Работая с нашим сайтом, вы даете свое согласие на использование файлов cookie. Это необходимо для нормального функционирования сайта, показа целевой рекламы и анализа трафика. Статистика использования сайта отправляется в «Яндекс» и «Google»
Научный журнал Моделирование, оптимизация и информационные технологииThe scientific journal Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology
Online media
issn 2310-6018

RESPIRATORY TUBERCULOSIS PROGRESS FORECASTING ACCORDING TO PERSONAL MEDICAL-AND-SOCIAL RISK FACTORS

Agarkov I.I.   Nikolaev V.A.   Shurshukov Y.Y.   Postnikova I.V.  

UDC 681.3
DOI:

  • Abstract
  • List of references
  • About authors

The article deals with some peculiarities of medical-and-social characteristics of people with respiratory tuberculosis and correlation of these factors with patients’ state of health and the impact on it. The authors present an integrated index of the respiratory tuberculosis development. Some models, showing the correlation of the integrated index, the disease duration and the frequency of presentations to the tuberculosis dispensary, the exacerbation and duration of the tuberculosis process, and the well-being evaluation according to medical-and-social risk factors are given.

1. Avilov K.K. Mathematical modeling of incidence respiratory tuberculosis in Russia and assessment the effectiveness of anti-TB measures: Ph.D. thesis. physical math Sciences: 05.13.18 / K.K. Avilov; Institute of Computing Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences - M., 2007 .-- 154 p.

2. Alekseev V.I. Prediction of the development of diabetes mellitus by medical and social risk factors / V.I. Alekseev, G.Ya. Klimenko, O.N. Choporov // System analysis and management in biomedical systems. - 2012. - T. 11. - No. 1. - S. 61-65.

3. Bolgov S.V. Prediction of dental morbidity by biomedical and socio-hygienic risk factors / S.V. Bolgov, K.A. Razinkin, O.N. Choporov // Post-graduate student. - number 6.2 (49). - 2011 .-- S. 294-301.

4. Bugakova E.N. Analysis of medical and social risk factors for development allergic dermatitis / E.N. Bugakova, G.Ya. Klimenko, O.N. Choporov // System analysis and management in biomedical systems. - 2009. - T. 8. - No. 3. - S. 795-798.

5. Bugakova E.N. Prediction of morbidity allergic dermatoses according to medical and social factors / E.N. Bugakova, G.Ya. Klimenko, O.N. Choporov // System analysis and management in biomedical systems. - 2010. - T. 9. - No. 4. - S. 801- 804.

6. Vorobyova N.A. Development of an integral indicator of the severity of the course arterial hypertension / N.A. Vorobyev, A.P. Babkin, O.N. Choporov HE. // System analysis and management in biomedical systems. - 2009. - T. 8. - No. 4. - S. 901-904.

7. The global fight against tuberculosis - epidemiology, strategy, funding: WHO 2009 report - Geneva, World Organization Health, 2009 .-- 313 p.

8. Esaulenko I.E. Industrial Health Issues region in modern conditions. / I.E. Esaulenko, G.Ya. Klimenko, V.N. Sozaeva, O.N. Choporov. - Voronezh: Publishing House of the Voronezh State University, 1999. - 263 p.

9. Integral assessment and predictive modeling of the state the health of pregnant women, women in childbirth and parturient women, taking into account their medical and social characteristics / O.N. Choporov, V.P. Kosolapov, N.V. Naumov, H.A. Gatsainieva // Bulletin of the Voronezh Institute of High technology. - Voronezh, 2012. - No. 9. - S. 91-95.

10. Kudinova N.N. Prediction of recurrence of uterine fibroids on the basis of an optimized set of risk factors / N.N. Kudinova, 2014 I.Yu. Kuranosova, O.N. Choporov // Post-graduate student. - No. 6.3 (55). - 2012. - S. 514-518.

11. Kudinova N.N. The results of the analysis of the significance of medical and social risk factors for uterine fibroids in combination with adenomyosis / N.N. Kudinova, P.E. Chesnokov, O.N. Choporov // Bulletin of Voronezh Institute of High Technologies. - 2013. - No. 11. - S. 202-206.

12. The method of converting qualitative characteristics into numerical assessments when processing the results of medical and social research / HE. Choporov, A.I. Agarkov, L.A. Kutashova, E.Yu. Konovalova // Bulletin of the Voronezh Institute of High Technologies. - Voronezh, 2012. - No. 9. - S. 96-98.

13. Methods of preprocessing information in system analysis and modeling of medical systems / O.N. Choporov, N.V. Naumov, L.A. Kutashova, A.I. Agarkov // Doctoral student. - No. 6.2 (55). - 2012 .-- S. 382-390.

14. Optimization of the management of the functioning of medical systems at various levels / O.N. Choporov, I.Ya. Lvovich, K.A. Razinkin, A.A. Ryndin // Control systems and information technology. - 2013. - T. 53.3. - S. 100-104.

15. Stop TB Plan for 18 Top Priority Countries WHO European Region 2007–2015 - Geneva, World Health Organization, 2008. - 77 p.

16. Development and use of models for predicting quality life of pregnant women by their medical and social characteristics / Maher Hussein Alsharaa, N.V. Naumov, G.Ya. Klimenko, O.N. Choporov // System analysis and management in biomedical systems. - 2011. - T.10. - No. 4. - S. 789-793.

17. Hopina O.A. Glaucoma Prediction by individual medical and social risk factors / O.A. Hopina G.Ya. Klimenko, O.N. Choporov // Post-graduate student. - 2011. - No. 6.1 (49). - WITH. 203-208.

18. Shilova M.V. The epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in The Russian Federation by the beginning of 2009 / M.V. Shilova / / Tuberculosis and lung diseases. - 2010. - No. 5. - P.14 - 20.

19. The Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report MMWR. - March 19. - 2010. - Vol. 59, N 10 (http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/pdf/wk/mm5910.pdf Accessed September 20, 2010)

20. Working out of information subsystem of forecasting of malignant new growths development and health state of oncological patients upon medical and social risk factors / O.N. Choporov, A.I. Agarkov, G.Ja. Klimenko, V.G. Medintsev // Information Technology Applications. – Slovakia, 2013. - № 4. – С. 41-54.

Agarkov Ivan Ivanovich


Voronezh, Russian Federation

Nikolaev Vladimir Alexandrovich
Candidate of Medical Sciences

Voronezh State Medical Academy of N.N.Burdenko

Voronezh, Russian Federation

Shurshukov Yuri Yuryevich
Doctor of Medical Sciences

Health Department of the Lipetsk Region

Lipetsk, Russian Federation

Postnikova Irina Valeryevna
Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor

Voronezh Institute of High Technologies

Voronezh, Russian Federation

Keywords: forecasting, integrated index, respiratory tuberculosis, medical-and-social risk factors

For citation: Agarkov I.I. Nikolaev V.A. Shurshukov Y.Y. Postnikova I.V. RESPIRATORY TUBERCULOSIS PROGRESS FORECASTING ACCORDING TO PERSONAL MEDICAL-AND-SOCIAL RISK FACTORS. Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology. 2014;2(4). Available from: https://moit.vivt.ru/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/AgarkovSoavtori_4_14_1.pdf DOI: (In Russ).

381

Full text in PDF