Моделирование стохастической нагрузки в жилом секторе
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Научный журнал Моделирование, оптимизация и информационные технологииThe scientific journal Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology
Online media
issn 2310-6018

Stochastic load modeling in the residential sector

Borovskiy A.V.   Yumenchuk A.A.  

UDC 519.213
DOI: -

  • Abstract
  • List of references
  • About authors

The power demand on the electric grid varies depending on the time of day and the needs of consumers. Demand response is a change in the consumer load curve accompanied by a change of price, used primarily by suppliers to limit consumption peaks. Reducing the short-term mismatch between production and consumption helps to integrate renewable energy sources, various low-carbon technologies, battery storage of electricity and electric vehicles into the electric grid. One of the tools used to maintain a balance between electricity production and consumption is smart meters, which operating in asmart grid. Such devices are widespread in the United States and the European Union, in the residential sector too. At the moment, the introduction of smart grids in the residential sector is just beginning in the Russian Federation. The article considers a stochastic model of electricity consumption by household appliances, based on the convolution theory. The measurement of power consumption by the most common household appliances has been performed. Several examples of consumer profiling based on the obtained data are given.The barriers that arise during the implementation of smart grids in the Russian Federation are identified, as well as the reasons why the interest of electricity suppliers in smart grids is growing.

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Borovskiy Andrey Viktorovich
Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Professor
Email: andrei-borovskii@mail.ru

Baikal State University

Irkutsk, Russian Federation

Yumenchuk Andrey Anatol'evich

Email: andrey.yumenchuk@mail.ru

Baikal State University

Irkutsk, Russian Federation

Keywords: stochastic models, demand forecasting, multi-stage load, smart grid, energy consumption graph

For citation: Borovskiy A.V. Yumenchuk A.A. Stochastic load modeling in the residential sector. Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology. 2024;12(2). Available from: https://moitvivt.ru/ru/journal/pdf?id=1573 DOI: - (In Russ).

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Full text in PDF

Received 08.05.2024

Revised 24.05.2024

Accepted 28.05.2024