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Научный журнал Моделирование, оптимизация и информационные технологииThe scientific journal Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology

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metadata of articles for the last 2 years

Optimality of the BRICS currency zone

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1959

Tarasov M.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.038

The article considers the feasibility of currency integration in the BRICS format, as well as the optimality of BRICS as a currency zone. In the course of the study, calculations have been made using the optimality formula for a currency zone. This model allows one to analyze the ratio of macroeconomic indicators of pairs of countries and find the average optimality coefficient of the entire association for currency integration. In addition, the research provides additional economic and geopolitical criteria, which are used to check the relevance of the primary calculations using the optimal currency zone model. Correlation of labor markets, the ratio of investment attractiveness levels correlation of business and financial cycles, inflationary convergence, geopolitical risks - all this has a direct or indirect impact on the success of integration. The data obtained after calculation and verification using additional criteria reflect the real degree of readiness of BRICS to create a single currency, as well as the predisposition of individual countries to economic integration. The purpose of the article is not to discredit the BRICS programs, but to provide a scientific approach to the analysis of one of the initiatives repeatedly promoted during BRICS summits. The feasibility of currency integration in the BRICS format is a complex multifaceted process that requires enormous time and resource expenditures from all member states of the association. This state of affairs runs counter to individual calls and statements made by politicians of the BRICS states, which may somewhat distort the idea of the subject of the study – currency integration in the BRICS format – in the eyes of the public.

Keywords: currency zone, currency integration, optimality, BRICS, criterion, economy, single currency, potential

Automated design of an interpretable machine learning model for operational coastal wind forecasting

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1945

Sherstnev P.A. Semenkin E.S. Mitrofanov S.A. Ganchev T.D.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.032

The article considers the problem of designing a system for operational short-term forecasting of wind speed at a specific point on the coast. An automated approach to designing hybrid machine learning models that combine an ensemble of multilayer neural networks and an interpretable system based on fuzzy logic is proposed. The method is based on the automated formation of an ensemble of neural networks and a system based on fuzzy logic using self-configuring evolutionary algorithms, which allows adapting to the features of the input data without manual tuning. After constructing the neural network ensemble, a separate system based on fuzzy logic is formed, learning from its inputs and outputs. This approach allows reproducing the behavior of the neural network model in an interpretable form. Based on experimental testing on a meteorological dataset, the effectiveness of the method is proven, which ensures a balance between the quality of the forecast and the interpretability of the model. It is shown that the constructed interpretable system reproduces the key patterns of the neural network ensemble, while remaining compact and understandable for analysis. The constructed model can be used in decision-making in port services and in organizing coastal events for quick and easy forecasting. The proposed approach as a whole allows obtaining similar models in various situations similar to the one considered.

Keywords: operational forecasting of wind characteristics, ensembles of neural networks, fuzzy logic systems, decision trees, self-configuring evolutionary algorithms

Algorithm for optimizing project resource allocation considering fuzzy expert recommendations on task start times

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1941

Azarnova T.V. Ivanova E.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.037

This article proposes an algorithm for evaluating project resource allocation that takes into account various fuzzy expert recommendations regarding the start times of tasks within float constraints, aiming to select the optimal set of expert suggestions. To determine the float constraints for task start and finish times, the classical critical path method is used. Expert recommendations on task start times are modeled as fuzzy trapezoidal or triangular numbers defined along the time axis. Based on the fuzzy start and finish times of project tasks, a fuzzy representation of the probability that a task will be performed at a specific moment is constructed. Building alpha-cuts for this fuzzy probability representation allows the identification of intervals, within float constraints, during which a task is likely to be performed at a certain level of fuzzy probability, thus enabling resource planning for those periods. The obtained results allow for: evaluating the expert recommendations that are optimal in terms of resource distribution; minimizing subcontracting needs for task execution; and calculating the associated subcontracting costs. The proposed algorithmic and software solution can serve as an effective decision support tool in the implementation of multi-component projects.

Keywords: network graph of the project, critical path, fuzzy expert recommendations, work completion dates on project, project resource optimization

Investigation of the relationship between the wetting angle and the surface microprofile parameters

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1933

Anisimov A.D. Masterenko D.A.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.039

A brief overview of new approaches to characterizing the quality of surfaces with hydrophobic properties is given. These approaches are based on mathematical procedures involving a large amount of computation, including fractal methods. The relationship between the wetting angle of a hydrophobic surface and surface parameters such as roughness and fractal dimension of the profile has been studied. A model of a superhydrophobic surface is developed, its parameters are described, such as the effective hydrophobic wetting angle, the proportion of the solid phase of the surface in contact with the liquid, and the parameters of the hierarchical structure. It has been established that the use of nanostructured columns in the formation of a superhydrophobic surface, taking into account the hierarchical structure, makes it possible to significantly increase the values of the wetting edge angle. The dependence of the wetting edge angle on the fraction of the liquid-solid contact at the interface is determined, which is explained by the complication of the surface structure, and the relationship between the fraction of the solid phase and the fractal dimension is determined. It was found that when estimating the wetting edge angle, the relationship of the fractal dimension is significantly higher in comparison with the roughness parameters Ra and Rz. The correlation coefficients between the wetting angle and other parameters of the hydrophobic surface were determined using regression analysis. The results obtained can be used in the processing of measurement information in accordance with modern standards in the field of geometric characteristics of surfaces, including in the development of software for measuring parameters of hydrophobic surfaces.

Keywords: hydrophobicity, roughness, geometric characteristics of the surface, fractal dimension, surface microprofile, scale

User authentication based on analysis of the length and timing parameters of handwritten signature

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1929

Dzyamko-Gamulets R.N. Ievlev O.P.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.039

This article presents methods for user authentication based on handwritten signature features characterizing its length as a scalar value and as a function of the dependence of the signature part curve length on time. The main emphasis is on methods for extracting static and dynamic features from a handwritten signature, these features are unique to each person and can be used to accept the truth or falsity of a particular user. During the analysis, data on time characteristics are collected, including the time spent writing each symbol and pauses between individual signature elements. The relevance of this study is due to the need to improve the security of user authentication in various systems where a handwritten signature serves as an important authentication element. The results of the study can be useful for creating more reliable authentication systems in such areas as banking, legal procedures, and other areas where a high degree of confidence in the authenticity of documents is required. The presented approaches not only contribute to increasing the level of authorization security, but also expand the horizons for further research in the field of biometric authentication. This, in turn, may lead to wider implementation of these technologies in practical applications in both online and offline systems.

Keywords: mathematical expectation, variance, function, handwritten signature, authentication, measure, metric, derivative, machine learning

Designing a seismological wave monitoring system based on neural networks

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1922

Vikhtenko E.M. Lukashevich S.K. Manzhula I.S.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.039

The article is devoted to the issue of designing an automated information system for monitoring seismological activity in the Far Eastern region of Russia. The Far East belongs to earthquake-prone areas, but due to the peculiarities of territorial development, the system of monitoring the seismological situation in the region is not sufficiently developed. Currently, researchers are working on organizing a system for collecting seismological data. The collected information on seismological events in the region provides an opportunity for their further analysis in order to identify previously unknown patterns and develop methods for predicting earthquakes before their impact on the region's infrastructure. The study examines the existing methods of measuring and marking seismic waves and the features of the territory for drawing up requirements for the system. As a result of the research, logical and physical schemes of the monitoring system are proposed, based on the use of neural networks to track the arrival of P and S waves in a mode close to the real-time mode. The system under development includes modules for obtaining and accumulating primary data, as well as a neural network module. The structure of the information system is planned to be as flexible as possible for convenient configuration of the network architecture and its training.

Keywords: monitoring system, seismic waves, earthquakes, STA/LTA, engineering, neural network, big data

Human pose estimation from video stream

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1920

Potenko M.A.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.036

The article presents a study of a human body pose estimation system based on the use of two neural networks. The proposed system allows determining the spatial location of 33 key points corresponding to the main joints of the human body (wrists, elbows, shoulders, feet, etc.), as well as constructing a segmentation mask for accurate delineation of human figure boundaries in an image. The first neural network implements object detection functions and is based on the Single Shot Detector (SSD) architecture with the application of Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) principles. This approach ensures the effective combination of features at different levels of abstraction and enables the processing of input images with a resolution of 224×224 for subsequent determination of people's positions in a frame. A distinctive feature of the implementation is the use of information from previous frames, which helps optimize computational resources. The second neural network is designed for key point detection and segmentation mask construction. It is also based on the principles of multi-scale feature analysis using FPN, ensuring high accuracy in localizing key points and object boundaries. The network operates on images with a resolution of 256×256, which allows achieving the necessary precision in determining spatial coordinates. The proposed architecture is characterized by modularity and scalability, enabling the system to be adapted for various tasks requiring different numbers of control points. The research results have broad practical applications in fields such as computer vision, animation, cartoon production, security systems, and other areas related to the analysis and processing of visual information.

Keywords: neural networks, convolutional neural networks, machine learning, computer vision, human pose estimation, keypoints, image segmentation

Platform for testing radiological artificial intelligence-powered software

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1917

Kovalchuk A.Y. Ponomarenko A.P. Arzamasov K.P.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.023

The amount of AI-based software used in radiology has been rapidly increasing in recent years, and the effectiveness of such AI services should be carefully assessed to ensure the quality of the developed algorithms. Manual assessment of such systems is a labor-intensive process. In this regard, an urgent task is to develop a specialized unified platform designed for automated testing of AI algorithms used to analyze medical images. The proposed platform consists of three main modules: a testing module that ensures interaction with the software being tested and collects data processing results; a viewing module that provides tools for visually evaluating the obtained graphic series and structured reports; a metrics calculation module that allows calculating diagnostic characteristics of the effectiveness of artificial intelligence algorithms. During the development, such technologies as Python 3.9, Apache Kafka, PACS and Docker were used. The developed platform has been successfully tested on real data. The obtained results indicate the potential of using the developed platform to improve the quality and reliability of AI services in radiation diagnostics, as well as to facilitate the process of their implementation in clinical practice.

Keywords: platform, diagnostic imaging, testing, medical images, artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence in the task of generating distractors for test questions

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1915

Dagaev A.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.028

Creating high-quality distractors for test items is a labor-intensive task that plays a crucial role in the accurate assessment of knowledge. Existing approaches often produce implausible alternatives or fail to reflect typical student errors. This paper proposes an AI-based algorithm for distractor generation. It employs a large language model (LLM) to first construct a correct chain of reasoning for a given question and answer, and then introduces typical misconceptions to generate incorrect but plausible answer choices, aiming to capture common student misunderstandings. The algorithm was evaluated on questions from the Russian-language datasets RuOpenBookQA and RuWorldTree. Evaluation was conducted using both automatic metrics and expert assessment. The results show that the proposed algorithm outperforms baseline methods (such as direct prompting and semantic modification), generating distractors with higher levels of plausibility, relevance, diversity, and similarity to human-authored reference distractors. This work contributes to the field of automated assessment material generation, offering a tool that supports the development of more effective evaluation resources for educators, educational platform developers, and researchers in natural language processing.

Keywords: distractor generation, artificial intelligence, large language models, knowledge assessment, test items, automated test generation, NLP

Methodology for creating a dataset for predictive analysis of an industrial robot

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1912

Kormin T.G. Tikhonov I.N. Berestova S.A. Zyryanov A.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.034

Industrial robots are one of the ways to increase production volumes. Bundling, milling, welding, laser processing, and 3D printing are a number of processes that require maintaining high precision positioning of industrial robots throughout the entire operation cycle. This article analyzes the use of the Denavit-Harterberg (DH) method to determine the positioning and orientation errors of an industrial robot. In this study, the DH method is used to create a model of possible errors in industrial robots and to create a database of deviations of the links and the working body of the robot from a predetermined trajectory. Special attention is paid to the presentation of practical steps to create a synthetic data set for the deviation of axes of an industrial robot, starting from the kinematic model of the robot and ending with the preparation of the final data format for subsequent analysis and the construction of a predictive analytics model. The importance of careful data preparation is highlighted by examples from other research in the field of predictive analytics of industrial equipment, demonstrating the economic benefits of timely detection and prevention of possible equipment failures. The developed model is used in the future to generate a synthetic data set for the deviation of the axes of an industrial robot. The proposed data collection model and methodology for creating a data set for predictive analytics are being tested on a six-axis robot designed for this purpose.

Keywords: inverse kinematics problem, predictive analytics, simulation modeling, industrial robot malfunction assessment, denavit-Hartenberg method, automation, fault diagnosis

A conceptual approach to the integration of artificial intelligence into engineering activities

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1907

Terekhin M.A. Ivaschenko A.V. Kulakov G.A.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.031

The article addresses the pressing issue of developing a unified information space for the integration of artificial intelligence components in the context of information support for design and technological preparation of production. It considers the challenge of creating a digital engineering assistant whose functions include the analysis of design documentation, processing of two-dimensional and three-dimensional models, and generation of new design and technological solutions. The model of interaction between the digital assistant and the engineer is proposed within the framework of integrating computer-aided design systems, engineering data management systems, and digital content management systems. This integration is based on the novel concept of "affordance", which is widely used to describe the characteristics of artificial intelligence systems, as well as in perception psychology and design to describe human interaction with technical devices. Using this concept, an information-logical model of an integrated enterprise information environment has been developed—an environment that brings together natural and artificial intelligence for the purpose of facilitating creative engineering activity. The classification of implementation options based on affordances is proposed as a foundation for compiling and annotating training datasets for generative models, as well as a guideline for formulating subsequent prompt queries. The proposed concept has been practically implemented and illustrated through the unification of medical device designs, including rehabilitation products, surgical navigation systems, multisensory simulators, and a modular expert virtual system. The findings presented in the article have practical value for the automation of engineering decision-making support, as well as for higher education in training engineering specialists, including in interdisciplinary fields such as medical engineering.

Keywords: computer-aided design systems, product information support, artificial intelligence, scientific and technical creativity, engineering activities, affordance

Detection of eating disorders in social media texts and network analysis of affected users

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1906

Solokhov T.D.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.48.1.033

Eating disorders (EDs) are among the most pressing issues in public health, affecting individuals across various age and social groups. With the rapid growth of digitalization and the widespread use of social media, there emerges a promising opportunity to detect signs of EDs through the analysis of user-generated textual content. This study presents a comprehensive approach that combines natural language processing (NLP) techniques, Word2Vec vectorization, and a neural network architecture for binary text classification. The model aims to identify whether a post is related to disordered eating behavior. Additionally, the study incorporates social network analysis to examine the structure of interactions among users who publish related content. Experimental results demonstrate high precision (0.87), recall (0.84), and overall performance, confirming the model’s practical applicability. The network analysis revealed clusters of users with ED-related content, suggesting the presence of a "social contagion" effect – here dysfunctional behavioral patterns may spread through online social connections. These findings highlight the potential of NLP and graph-based modeling in the early detection, monitoring, and prevention of eating disorders by leveraging digital traces left in online environments.

Keywords: eating disorders, text analysis, machine learning, neural network models, natural language processing, social graph, network analysis

Statistical estimation of the probability of reaching a target price considering volatility and returns across different timeframes

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1905

Gilmullin T.M. Gilmullin M.F.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.030

The article proposes an original algorithm for statistical estimation of the probability of reaching a target price based on the analysis of returns and volatility using a drifted random walk model and integration of data from different timeframes. The relevance of the study stems from the need to make informed decisions in algorithmic trading under market uncertainty. The key feature of the approach is the aggregation of probabilities computed from different time intervals using Bayesian adjustment and weighted averaging, with weights dynamically determined based on volatility. The use of a universal fuzzy scale for qualitative interpretation of the evaluation results is also proposed. The algorithm includes the calculation of logarithmic returns, trend, and volatility, while stability is improved through data cleaning and anomaly filtering using a modified Hampel method. The article presents a calculation example using real OHLCV data and discusses possible approaches to validating the accuracy of the estimates when historical records of target price attainment are available. The results demonstrate the practical applicability of the proposed method for assessing the feasibility of reaching forecasted targets and for filtering trading signals. The developed algorithm can be used in risk management, trading strategy design, and expert decision support systems in financial markets.

Keywords: statistical probability estimation, target price, return, volatility, random walk with drift, timeframe integration, bayesian adjustment, fuzzy logic, logarithmic return, financial modeling

Analyzing customer behavior and choosing marketing strategies based on reinforcement learning

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1900

Prokhorova O.K. Петрова Е.С.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.035

In today's competitive market, companies face the challenge of choosing optimal marketing strategies that maximize customer engagement, retention, and revenue. Traditional methods such as rule-based approaches or A/B testing are often not flexible enough to adapt to dynamic customer behavior and long-term trends. Reinforcement Learning (RL) offers a promising solution, allowing you to make adaptive decisions through continuous interaction with the environment. This article explores the use of RL in marketing, demonstrating how customer data – such as purchase history, campaign interactions, demographic characteristics, and loyalty metrics – can be used to train an RL agent. The agent learns to choose personalized marketing actions, such as sending discounts or customized offers, in order to maximize metrics such as increased revenue or reduced customer churn. The article provides a step-by-step guide to implementing an RL-based marketing strategy using MATLAB. The creation of a user environment, the design of an RL agent and the learning process are considered, as well as practical recommendations for interpreting agent decisions. By simulating customer interactions and evaluating agent performance, we demonstrate the potential of RL to transform marketing strategies. The aim of the work is to bridge the gap between advanced machine learning methods and their practical application in marketing by offering a roadmap for companies seeking to use the capabilities of RL for decision making.

Keywords: reinforcement learning, customer behavior, marketing strategies, state of the environment, agent actions, agent reward

Construction of regression models with switching nonlinear transformations for the assigned explanatory variable

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1893

Bazilevskiy M.P.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.024

Often, when constructing regression models, it is necessary to resort to nonlinear transformations of explanatory variables. Both elementary and non-elementary functions can be used for this. This is done because many patterns in nature are complex and poorly described by linear dependencies. Usually, the transformations of explanatory variables in a regression model are constant for all observations of the sample. This work is devoted to constructing nonlinear regressions with switching transformations of the selected explanatory variable. In this case, the least absolute deviations method is used to estimate the unknown regression parameters. To form the rule for switching transformations, an integer function "floor" is used. A mixed 0–1 integer linear programming problem is formulated. The solution of this problem leads to both the identification of optimal estimates for nonlinear regression and the identification of a rule for switching transformations based on the values of explanatory variables. A problem of modeling the weight of aircraft fuselages is solved using this method. The nonlinear regression constructed with the proposed method using switching transformations turned out to be more accurate than the model using constant transformations over the entire sample. An advantage of the mechanism developed for constructing regression models is that thanks to the knowledge of the rules for switching transformations, the resulting regression can be used for forecasting.

Keywords: regression analysis, nonlinear regression, least absolute deviations method, mixed 0–1 integer linear programming problem, integer function «floor», weight model of aircraft fuselage

Using the ternary balanced number system to improve the accuracy of calculations

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1889

Blinova D.V. Giniyatullin V.M. Kupbaev T.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.026

The paper describes the use of a ternary balanced number system for calculating the elements of the inverse matrix for ill-conditioned matrices. The conditionality of a matrix characterizes how strongly the solution of a linear equations system can change depending on small perturbations in the data. The higher the conditionality value, the more sensitive the matrix is to small changes in the data. As an example of an ill-conditioned matrix in this paper the three-by-three Hilbert matrix is considered. Based on the known expression, the true values of the elements of the inverse Hilbert matrix are calculated. An assessment of the errors in calculating the elements of the inverse Hilbert matrix, obtained with varying degrees of calculation accuracy in the binary number system (using a computer, software implementation in C language) and in the ternary balanced number system (calculations were performed manually), is given. Comparison of calculation results is performed in the decimal number system. It is shown that the use of a ternary balanced number system allows to reduce the calculation error of ill-conditioned matrices elements by several times (by 3 or more times for low-precision data and by 1,5 or more times for more precise data).

Keywords: inverse matrix, the Hilbert matrix, ternary balanced number system, ill-conditioned matrix, calculation errors

Informative features for electromagnetic detection and recognition of biological objects

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1888

Aleshkov A.A. Tsvetkov G.A. Kokovin A.N.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.020

The relevance of the study is due to the need to improve the reliability and efficiency of physical protection systems of protected objects in the face of growing security threats, which is possible through the use of more sensitive and selective methods of identification of intruders, which includes the developed method – electromagnetic detection and recognition of biological objects (BO). The purpose of the work is to study the bifurcation process of interaction of external electromagnetic field of radio wave range with the electromagnetic shell of a living organism to substantiate, evaluate and calculate informative features of electromagnetic detection and recognition of BO with the subsequent formation of a dictionary of typical features. The study is based on the previously developed mathematical model of a BO, which is refined and supplemented by analyzing the scientific literature devoted to the study of bioradioinformative technology and bioelectromagnetism. In the course of the work, the conditions and modes of functioning of a biological medium generating electromagnetic radiation are determined and described, depending on the combination of energy and frequency parameters of the external field with the characteristics of this medium. The nomenclature of the most informative signs of electromagnetic recognition – bifurcation parameters characterizing mass, dimensions and electrodynamic properties of a bioobject – is proposed and substantiated. Analytical expressions for calculating the features of classification of BO are derived, confirmed by the results of computational experiment. A dictionary of intruder attributes is developed, providing the possibility of informed decision-making about the presence of an object in the controlled space, its belonging to a certain class and motion parameters. The presented results can be used in the development of means of intruder identification for security and territory monitoring systems.

Keywords: informative features, information interaction, biological object, electromagnetic fields, strength, bioelectromagnetism, intruder identification, bifurcation parameters, feature dictionary

Assessment of the reliability and effectiveness of artificial intelligence systems in radiation diagnostics at the operational stage

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1886

Zinchenko V.V. Vladzimirskyy A.V. Arzamasov K.M.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.016

In the context of the active implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in healthcare, ensuring stable, controlled and high-quality operation of such systems at the operational stage is of particular relevance. Monitoring of AI systems is enshrined in law: within three years after the implementation of medical devices, including AI systems, it is necessary to provide regular reports to regulatory authorities. The aim of the study is to develop methods for assessing the reliability and effectiveness of medical artificial intelligence for radiation diagnostics. The proposed methods were tested on the data of the Moscow Experiment on the use of innovative technologies in the field of computer vision in the direction of chest radiography, collected in 2023. The developed methods take into account a set of parameters: emerging technological defects, research processing time, the degree of agreement of doctors with the analysis results and other indicators. The proposed approach can be adapted for various types of medical research and become the basis for a comprehensive assessment of AI systems as part of the monitoring of medical devices with artificial intelligence. The implementation of these methods can increase the level of trust of the medical community not only in specific AI-based solutions, but also in intelligent technologies in healthcare in general.

Keywords: artificial intelligence, reliability, efficiency, artificial intelligence system, radiology, radiation diagnostics, monitoring

Optimization of the nomenclature-volume balance of suppliers and consumers in the management of the organizational system of drug supply

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1885

Shvedov N.N. Lvovich Y.E.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.1.018

The article discusses approaches and tools aimed at improving the intelligent management of the nomenclature component in the drug supply system using optimization problems. We are talking about the relationship between the list of drugs and their quantitative distribution in such a way that the degree of balance between supply and demand is taken into account. The problem lies in insufficient coordination of drug flows, imbalances in stocks and inefficient distribution of resources. All these factors lead to increased costs and reduced availability of vital drugs for end consumers. Effective management of the nomenclature-volume balance allows you to avoid shortages, excess stocks and increase the sustainability of the drug supply system, ensuring optimal stocks and availability of drugs. The main attention is paid to the use of optimization problems and expert assessments of their parameters in managing the digital interaction of suppliers and consumers, which allows for increased accuracy in controlling the range and demand. Control means minimizing shortages or excess stocks, guaranteeing the availability of the necessary drugs for the end consumer. The results of the study were used to develop an intelligent subsystem for supporting management decisions, promoting balanced resource management and increasing the availability of drugs.

Keywords: organizational system, drug provision, management, optimization, expert assessment

Method of numerical calculation of the security level of information infrastructure components

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1884

Belikov Y.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.025

One of the key issues in the process of organizing information security is the assessment of compliance with the requirements for infrastructure protection, as well as response to current threats and risks. This assessment is ensured by conducting an appropriate audit. Domestic and international standards specify various methods for conducting an information security audit, and also provide conceptual models for constructing the assessment process. However, the disadvantages of these standards include the impossibility of their in-depth adaptation within individual information systems, as well as the partial or complete lack of a numerical assessment of security parameters, which can negatively affect the objectivity of the assessment of the parameters used and not reflect real threats. In turn, the adaptation of numerical methods in the analysis of the maturity level of information security processes allows solving a number of important problems, for example, automation of the assessment process, providing a more accurate indicator of identifying vulnerable components of the information infrastructure, as well as the ability to integrate the obtained values with other processes aimed at neutralizing current security threats from intruders. The purpose of this work is to analyze the possibility of using a numerical assessment of the maturity level of information security, as well as the use of fuzzy sets in the audit.

Keywords: information security, audit, maturity level assessment, information security tools, numerical assessment, fuzzy sets, fuzzy logic, security criteria, risks

Application of the task of finding the minimum vertex coverage in a graph to improve the robustness of digital identity system

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1883

Akutin A.S. Pechenkin V.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.015

This paper examines the features of building digital identity systems for managing information technology processes in an enterprise, the architecture of which depends on decentralized data registers - blockchains. The paper considers blockchains as weighted graphs and formulates a number of theses that speak about the specifics of the functioning of such distributed networks in real information technology enterprises. The features of various network topologies and possible architectural vulnerabilities and flaws that can affect the operation of the entire network are considered – centralization of mining, centralization of staking, various attacks on a functioning network (topological and 51% percent attack). Blockchains using various consensus-building algorithms, taking into account their features, are considered. The paper considers the task of finding the minimum coverage in a graph and emphasizes the importance of applying this task to the described digital personality system in order to increase the reliability of the blockchain computer network by analyzing its topology. Various methods of finding the minimum coverage in a graph are considered – exact and heuristic algorithms. The paper analyzes an application that implements the ant colony algorithm to solve the problem, provides numerical characteristics of the algorithm and its formal description.

Keywords: digital identity system, blockchain, distributed systems, graphs, minimum coverage search

Algorithms and programs for calculating nonparametric criteria for statistical hypothesis testing based on permutations with repetitions

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1880

Agamirov L.V. Agamirov V.L. Toutova N.V. Andreev I.A. Ziganshin D.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.022

One of the important tasks of statistical analysis is to test statistical hypotheses, and in this group the most promising is the subgroup of nonparametric ranking criteria, which are very stable for work with small samples, when it is not possible to reliably justify the hypothetical law of distribution. In its turn, this fact causes the necessity to abandon asymptotic approximations and to have exact critical values of the criteria (or so-called p-values in modern literature). At present, analytical solutions are available only for a very limited class of criteria (signs, Wilcoxon, series, Ansari-Bradley). For all others, a computerized enumeration of a huge number of possible permutations of ranks is required for an exact solution. The creation of a universal algorithm for obtaining an accurate and fast distribution of ranks of nonparametric criteria is the focus of the present work. The algorithm, implemented in open-source programming languages C++, Javascript and Python, is based on a well-known combinatorics problem - permutations with repetitions, with its adaptation to the task of hypothesis testing by rank criteria. The following criteria are considered as such criteria: Kraskell-Wallis, Muda, Lehman-Rosenblatt, as well as a group of normal label criteria: Fisher-Yates, Capon, Klotz, Van der Varden. The algorithm is also adapted for other possible ranking problems of nonparametric statistics.

Keywords: statistical hypothesis testing, nonparametric criteria, rank criteria, exact distributions of rank criteria, permutations with repetitions, permutation algorithms, c++ programs for permutations

Quantum algorithms and cybersecurity threats

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1878

Kozachok A.V. Tarasenko S.S. Kozachok A.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.019

The purpose of this article is to assess potential threats to cybersecurity arising from the development of quantum algorithms. The text analyzes existing quantum algorithms, such as Shor's algorithm and Grover's algorithm, and explores the possibility of their potential application in the context of compromising existing cryptographic systems. The research approach includes a literature review and examination of core mechanisms underlying quantum computers, along with assessment of their capability to perform algorithms potentially affecting various cryptographic systems, both symmetric and asymmetric. Additionally, the paper discusses the prospects for developing quantum-resistant cryptographic algorithms aimed at protecting against cryptanalysis using quantum computations. Based on the analysis of existing quantum algorithms and their potential impact on widely used cryptographic systems, the authors of the study conclude that, at present, there is no compelling evidence to assert the real possibility of compromising asymmetric or symmetric cryptographic algorithms in the near future within the context of quantum computations. However, considering the ongoing development of quantum technologies and the necessity of maintaining the confidentiality of information, the relevance of which will not significantly diminish over time, as well as the need to ensure the protection of confidential information in the future, there is a requirement for the development and active implementation of quantum-resistant cryptographic methods to ensure information confidentiality in the long term.

Keywords: post-quantum cryptography, shor's algorithm, grover's algorithm, asymmetric cryptography, symmetric cryptography, quantum computers, confidentiality preservation of information

Mathematical model of competition for a limited resource in ecosystems: numerical and analytical study of sustainability

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1877

Gutnik D.I. Belykh T.I. Rodionov A.V. Bukin Y.S.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.017

This paper investigates the dynamics of interaction between two species competing for a limited resource using a mathematical model that is an autonomous system of ordinary differential equations in normal form. The model is based on Gause's principle, Volterra's hypotheses, Tilman's theory of resource competition, and the Michaelis-Menten equation to describe population growth. The system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations is analyzed for stability at stationary points using the first approximation analytical method proposed by A.A. Lyapunov, which is suitable for the study of systems consisting of two or more equations, and analytically and numerically solved for various values of model parameters. The results show that species survival and coexistence depend on the level of the limiting resource, the ratio of fertility and mortality rates and intraspecific competition, and substrate concentration. Numerical simulations correspond to scenarios of extinction of one species, dominance of one species, or their coexistence depending on environmental conditions. The results obtained in this work are consistent with natural ecological relationships and emphasize the importance of considering anthropogenic factors, such as eutrophication, when predicting changes in ecological systems.

Keywords: population dynamics, limiting resource, mathematical model, lyapunov method, simulation, eigenvalues, stability of equilibrium state

Enhancing the trustworthiness of explainable artificial intelligence through fuzzy logic and ontology

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1872

Kosov P.I. Gardashova L.A.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.014

The insufficient explainability of machine learning models has long constituted a significant challenge in the field. Specialists across various domains of artificial intelligence (AI) application have endeavored to develop explicable and reliable systems. To address this challenge, DARPA formulated a contemporary approach to explainable AI (XAI). Subsequently, Bellucci et al. expanded DARPA's XAI concept by proposing a novel methodology predicated on semantic web technologies. Specifically, they employed OWL2 ontologies for the representation of user-oriented expert knowledge. This system enhances confidence in AI decisions through the provision of more profound explanations. Nevertheless, XAI systems continue to encounter difficulties when confronted with incomplete and imprecise data. We propose a novel approach that utilizes fuzzy logic to address this limitation. Our methodology is founded on the integration of fuzzy logic and machine learning models to imitate human thinking. This new approach more effectively interfaces with expert knowledge to facilitate deeper explanations of AI decisions. The system leverages expert knowledge represented through ontologies, maintaining full compatibility with the architecture proposed by Bellucci et al. in their work. The objective of this research is not to enhance classification accuracy, but rather to improve the trustworthiness and depth of explanations generated by XAI through the application of "explanatory" properties and fuzzy logic.

Keywords: explainable artificial intelligence, explainability, ontology, fuzzy system, fuzzy clustering

Modeling of radiopaque angiographic images for determining vessel parameters using dual spectral scanning

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1871

Kuzmin A.A. Sukhomlinov A.Y. Zhilin I.A. Filist S.A. Korobkov S.V. Serebrovskiy V.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.011

The purpose of the study is to develop a methodology for cognitive determination of medical halftone images’ parameters based on dual spectral scanning methods. The mathematical model of radiopaque images of vessels is described in this work. Based on this model, the method for determining the vessel parameters using spectral scanning was developed. The model is based on the representation of oriented brightness differences using Walsh functions. This vessel model was convolved with wavelets based on the first Walsh functions. The result of the convolution will yield extremes at the points of brightness differences. We can use this result as an informative parameter for the presence of a vessel contour. Information from many such parameters in a local area is aggregated and gives an averaged characteristic of this area. This leads to a significant decrease in the influence of noise on the final result due to an acceptable decrease in the resolution of localization of significant arterial occlusions. The averaged results of the convolution of Walsh functions are recommended to be calculated using a two-dimensional spectral Walsh transform in a sliding window with subsequent frequency selection. The method is illustrated by the example of classifying the contour of the boundary of a vessel model and a real radiopaque image of an artery with a high noise level. A comparison of theoretical and practical approaches to solving the problem of detecting the contour of arteries is carried out. Experimental studies of the proposed method have shown the possibility of estimating informative parameters even under conditions of analyzing images with unsatisfactory contrast and with a low signal-to-noise ratio. The use of the dual spectral scanning method in systems for automatic analysis of radiopaque angiographic images allows obtaining informative parameters in conditions of high noise in the images.

Keywords: spectral analysis, informative parameters, image of a vessel, radiopaque angiography, walsh functions

A method for quantifying the danger of implementing threats to the information security of objects of critical information infrastructure by potential violators

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1870

Chernov D.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.013

In the context of increasing informatization of various production areas, when most technological processes and information flows are automated and controlled by computer technology, the choice of measures to ensure the security of information (SI) of critical information infrastructure objects (CIIO) becomes a pressing issue. The article discusses existing methods and approaches to assessing the risk of implementing SI threats to CIIO, which include automated process control systems, information systems, and information and telecommunication networks. These approaches help SI specialists assess the risks associated with possible cyberattacks and data leaks. A method is proposed for quantitatively assessing the degree of danger of implementing SI threats based on the intelligent analysis of data stored in the CIIO logging subsystem. The method allows for a quantitative assessment of the degree of danger of implementing SI threats by potential violators with respect to a specific CIIO. The developed method complements the available assessments of SI specialists by forming expert assessments from additionally involved specialists - professionals in the field of technological processes and information flows of CIIO. The results of the study are recommended for use in modeling SI threats and developing requirements for information security tools in the CIIO.

Keywords: information security, critical information infrastructure, automated control system, technological process, threat, violator, potential, danger of threat realization, risk, damage

Simulation of trajectory for additive printing of tree-like fractal structure with a six-axis robot

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1865

Bersenev K.A. Ogorodnikova O.M. Ogorodnikov A.I.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.012

Currently, the widespread use of additive technologies fully raises the issues of creating and implementing optimal bio-inspired designs, because a number of technological restrictions on the geometry and shaping of surfaces are removed. This article presents the results of developing control system algorithms that take into account the operation of an articulated robot as part of technological equipment for multi-axis printing of parts by the fusion deposition method. For non-solid filling of the internal volume of parts, a bio-inspired tree-like structure was chosen, which was formally described using a fractal in the trajectory planning problem. The geometry of the printed object is presented in a cylindrical coordinate system, based on which it is possible to create a layer-by-layer trajectory with a set of concentric circles using a simplified procedure for recalculating coordinates. The results of the work performed are part of a hardware and software complex in a robotic cell for manufacturing parts from PLA and ABS thermoplastics. The trajectory planning is carried out in a simulator, the program code of which is written in the C language and refers to the functions of the Raylib library to perform mathematical operations with vectors, matrices and quaternions. The robot's movement along the planned trajectory is controlled by the STM32H743VIT6 microcontroller with the Free RTOS real-time operating system.

Keywords: additive manufacturing, bio-inspired structures, tree-like fractal, six-axis articulated robot, kinematics simulation, trajectory planning

Using ResNet and Transformer architectures in the problem of source code generation from an image

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1863

Nikitin I.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.002

This study examines different ways to optimize a system designed to generate source code from an image. The system itself consists of two parts: an autoencoder for processing images and extracting the necessary features from them, and text processing using LSTM blocks. Recently, many new approaches have been released to solve problems of both improving image processing performance and text processing and prediction. In this study, ResNet architectures were chosen to improve the image processing part and Transformer architecture to improve the text prediction part. As part of the experiments, a comparison was made of the performance of systems consisting of various combinations of architectural solutions of the original system, ResNet architecture and transformers, and a conclusion was made about the quality of prediction based on the performance of the BLEU, chrF++ metrics, as well as the execution of functional tests. The experiments showed that the combination of ResNet and Transformer architectures shows the best result in the task of generating source code from an image, but this combination also requires the longest time for its training.

Keywords: code generation, image, machine learning, resNet, transformers

Development of a software platform for implementing feedback in an urban self-organizing system

2025. T.13. № 2. id 1862

Denisov V.A. Shebarshov A.A. Karchagin E.V. Parygin D.S. Kizim A.V.

DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2025.49.2.007

The relevance of the study is determined by the need to increase the level of self-organization of urban systems through the involvement of the population in the processes of management and optimization of infrastructure, which corresponds to the concept of «The right to the city». In this regard, this article aims to identify effective methods of organizing feedback between residents and city authorities through multiplatform online surveys with geospatial reference. The leading approach to the study of this problem is the development of a client-server system that combines a web client, a Telegram bot and other platforms, which allows for a comprehensive review of the features of data collection, analysis and visualization in real time. The article presents the architecture and functionality of the system, reveals the principles of its operation, identifies the advantages of a multiplatform approach compared with traditional survey methods, and substantiates the importance of geospatial mapping for localization of problem areas. It has been experimentally confirmed that using multiple channels of interaction increases the activity of respondents and the representativeness of data: 6022 publications from 94 participants were collected in four months. The materials of the article are of practical value for city administrations, researchers in the field of urban studies and developers of civic engagement platforms focused on creating adaptive management systems for the urban environment.

Keywords: system management, feedback, multi-agent system, self-organization, urban studies